YOUR SATURDAY STATS | Live Channel 4 Racing | 16th July 2016

Admittedly not the biggest race meetings of the mid-summer British flat season, there are still some noteworthy races heading into another weekend of LIVE Channel 4 Racing. On Saturday, the Channel 4 cameras will take in race meetings at three courses, namely Newmarket, Newbury and Market Rasen. While the biggest races of the day are […]

Admittedly not the biggest race meetings of the mid-summer British flat season, there are still some noteworthy races heading into another weekend of LIVE Channel 4 Racing.

On Saturday, the Channel 4 cameras will take in race meetings at three courses, namely Newmarket, Newbury and Market Rasen.

While the biggest races of the day are the Newsells Park Stud Stakes at Newmarket, the Weatherbys Super Sprint at Newbury and the Summer Hurdle and Plate and Market Rasen, we’ve got ALL of your LIVE Channel 4 Racing stats right here.

Newmarket

3:15 – Racing UK HD Handicap – Class 2 – 1m

Only 5 previous runnings

5/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Winning distance exactly 1 length
4/5 – Had won over at least 1m before
4/5 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
4/5 – Rated between 92-97 (inc)

Godolphin won the race in 2011& 2013
No winning favourites
3 of the last 5 winners carried 9-7 or more
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 24% record with his older horses at the track
Adam Kirby has a 26% record riding older horses at the track
Martin Harley has just a 3% strike-rate riding older horses at the track

3:50 – Newsells Park Stud Stakes (Registered as The Aphrodite Stakes (Listed Race) – Class 1 – 1m4f

12/13 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
11/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Winning favourite
4/13 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden

The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

Newbury

2:30 – Bathwick Tyres EBF Breeders’ Series Fillies’ Handicap – Class 2 – 1m

8 previous runnings

8/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/8 – Had won no more than 4 times before
8/8 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
8/8 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/8 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
7/8 – Had run in the last 3 weeks
6/8 – Aged 4 years-old
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Winners that came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
6/8 – Won over at least a mile before
5/8 – Had won between 1-2 times before
5/8 – Favourites placed in the top 3
4/8 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/8 – Returned 8/1 in the betting
2/8 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/8 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/8 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/8 – Winning favourites

The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/2

3:00 – Bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Stevenson Stakes) (Listed Race) – Class 1 – 1m2f

9/12 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/12 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
8/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
7/12 – Had run at the track before
7/12 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Had won a Group race before
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Winners from stall 1

The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

3:35 – Bet365 Hackwood Stakes – Class 1 – 6f8y

11/12 – Won over 6f before
9/12 – Aged 5 or younger
9/12 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Placed favourites
5/12 – Had won a Group race before
5/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winners from stall 8
2/12 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
1/12 – Winners from stall 1

6 of the last 9 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

4:10 – Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) – Class 2 – 5f34y

11/12 – Had won over 5f before
11/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/12 – Won 1-2 times before
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
6/12 – Irish bred horses
6/12 – Won by a Feb or March foal
6/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Won by a filly
4/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/12 – Winners from stall 1
3/12 – Winning favourites

Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013 and 2015
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

Market Rasen

2:15 – Betfred TV Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) – Class 2 – 2m1f

13/14 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
12/14 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
10/14 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
8/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/14 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/14 – Ridden by Denis O’Regan
2/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Winning favourites

6 of the last 10 winners retuned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Dr Richard Newland won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

2:45 – Betfred Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) – Class 1 – 2m6f110y

14/14 – Had run within the last 3 months
13/14 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
12/14 – Aged 7 or older
11/14 – Had won 2 or more chases before
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/14 – Won their previous race
8/14 – Had run at Market Rasen before
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/14 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/14 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/14 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 6)

The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
It’s A Gimme won the race in 2014

Written by:

Richard

15th July 2016

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